Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.017089 0.019043 0.021009 0.023128 0.025341 0.027581 0.030013
2025-03-30 0.013113 0.016127 0.019288 0.022818 0.026624 0.030582 0.034985
2025-04-06 0.010346 0.013925 0.017816 0.022288 0.027227 0.032461 0.038382
2025-04-13 0.007905 0.011743 0.016076 0.021199 0.026979 0.033210 0.040355
2025-04-20 0.006819 0.010970 0.015798 0.021622 0.028292 0.035563 0.043977
2025-04-27 0.005518 0.009787 0.014926 0.021265 0.028641 0.036776 0.046274
2025-05-04 0.004340 0.008618 0.013970 0.020724 0.028707 0.037611 0.048094
2025-05-11 0.003673 0.008042 0.013682 0.020927 0.029590 0.039330 0.050866
2025-05-18 0.002953 0.007301 0.013127 0.020760 0.030004 0.040483 0.052972
2025-05-25 0.002211 0.006419 0.012322 0.020237 0.029955 0.041073 0.054411
2025-06-01 0.001655 0.005728 0.011717 0.019920 0.030119 0.041882 0.056074
2025-06-08 0.001146 0.005005 0.011011 0.019435 0.030049 0.042394 0.057374
2025-06-15 0.000799 0.004540 0.010700 0.019534 0.030796 0.043989 0.060078
2025-06-22 0.000435 0.003893 0.010091 0.019238 0.031076 0.045066 0.062230
2025-06-29 0.000162 0.003227 0.009373 0.018749 0.031081 0.045794 0.063957
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.002428 0.008328 0.017745 0.030392 0.045656 0.064643
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002243 0.008291 0.018135 0.031465 0.047627 0.067791
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001822 0.007774 0.017806 0.031591 0.048437 0.069557
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001399 0.007168 0.017308 0.031472 0.048927 0.070928
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001224 0.007032 0.017495 0.032240 0.050495 0.073570
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000977 0.006688 0.017342 0.032544 0.051482 0.075511
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000686 0.006152 0.016861 0.032389 0.051887 0.076744
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000482 0.005756 0.016570 0.032474 0.052577 0.078307